Finance & economics

Surging bond yields presage pain—and not just for bond investors

Long-term government-bond yields have risen sharply, with the 30-year US Treasury near 5.4% and the ten-year briefly at 4.98% on September 10th. The article links the move to higher oil prices and inflation, large government deficits and debt, and private-sector competition for capital from AI data-centre construction. Investment-grade companies are forecast to issue $1.9trn of debt this year, and UBS estimates corporate issuance has added 0.2 percentage points to some Treasury yields. Higher yields can pressure richly valued equities, mortgages and banks holding bonds, while governments face higher interest costs as debt matures. The article notes that bank unrealised losses are below the 2022 peak, but says persistent high debt and rates would eventually weigh on finance ministries and taxpayers.

Why it matters

This is central to Dealroom’s capital-markets and AI-infrastructure view: data-centre financing is competing with sovereign borrowers and affecting rates, valuations and startup funding conditions. The figures on corporate issuance, Treasury yields, bank losses and tech-equity risk help contextualise financing costs for venture-backed companies and investors.

Read the full article: The Economist

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